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中国基金报记者金宥智
比特币距离历史新高又近了一步。
昨夜，比特币再次刷新近三年高点，突破19000美元后，一度涨至19469美元，距离19891美元的历史高点仅有“一步之遥”。
11月以来，比特币一路“高歌猛进”，已经涨超38%，仅上周，比特币便上涨了15%。
Avatrade的Naeem Aslam认为，担心错过比特币涨势的心理正在将比特币推高至三年来的最高水平。“交易员知道，加密货币资产不是常规投资，而是炒作，当它归来时，必须对其进行审视。我们需要牢记的一个重要因素是牛市尚未开始。到目前为止，还只是恢复。真正的牛市只会在价格突破20000美元水平时开始。”
加密货币集体上涨
瑞波币24小时涨超46%
在比特币大涨的带动下，加密货币也集体大涨。
据币Coin数据，截至北京时间25日上午六点半，瑞波币（XRP）最近24小时累涨超46%，XLM、SKY、PIVX、QSP四个币种涨超30%。
一比特币基金11月涨超45%
专注比特币投资的基金也大涨，昨夜，GBTC基金一度涨超8%。
虽然临近尾盘涨幅回落，但11月以来，该基金的涨幅依然高达45%。
公开信息显示，GBTC基金（Grayscale Bitcoin Trust）由灰度资产于2018年4月推出，被称为“第一个单独投资比特币并从比特币价格中获取价值的公开上市证券”。灰度资产是全球最大的加密资产管理公司，11月6日，灰度资产管理总规模已经达到 91亿美元，创下历史新高。
支付巨头“入场”导致比特币供不应求？
Paypal合作的交易所成交量增长两倍
自Paypal宣布将提供比特币交易服务以来，比特币涨势如虹，市场不少声音认为，支付巨头的入场造成了比特币“供不应求”的局面，从而推动比特币上涨。
Paypal与加密货币基础设施的提供商Paxos合作进行托管和交易。
CoinGecko最新数据显示，自去年9月以来，Paxos交易所itBit的成交量一直保持在同一区间内，但PayPal最近上线比特币服务后，该交易所的成交量增长了两倍多。
比特币对冲基金巨头潘特拉资本（Pantera Capita）估计，在仅仅三周时间内，PayPal客户已经购买了新供应的比特币的大约70%。
Pantera Capital的创始人兼首席投资官DanMorehead评论称，PayPal和Square两家公司的客户已经买下了所有市场新供应的比特币，这种供需情况推动了币价上涨。
对冲基金BKCM创始人兼首席执行官布莱恩·凯利（Brian Kelly）表示，更大的金融科技效应是关于（产生）新的需求——Square和PayPal正在让首次交易（比特币）的交易者更容易通过主流应用进行购买。
经纪公司Pepperstone的分析师Chris Weston认为，比特币正在被接受和应用的故事是真实的，并且供应不足以跟上需求。贝宝（PayPal）10月21日宣布将允许美国客户从自己的帐户中买卖比特币、比特币现金、以太坊和莱特币。这是一个逐步推出的计划，但是鉴于PayPal在全球范围内的庞大分布，市场认为这是向前迈出的一大步。
数字货币对冲基金ARK36基金经理Jacob Skaaning称最近比特币的大涨主要由于供应流动性缺乏所致，由于需求过于旺盛，交易平台的比特币交易量反而下跌。
分析师：投资者需要货币贬值对冲工具
经纪公司Pepperstone的Chris Weston表示，七国集团（G7）央行资产负债表走高，投资者正寻找最佳的货币贬值对冲工具，全球货币供应似乎正在鼓舞股票和加密货币投资者。
该分析师还提到，尽管这是一个长期因素，但比特币的基础架构是为升值而设置的——每开采210，000个区块，矿工的奖励就会减少50%。这是量化紧缩的一种形式。从理论上讲，除非有所改变，否则最后的比特币将在2140年产生。
*Fidelity Investments推出了最低投资额为100，000美元的比特币基金，充分证明了被动基金的参与。灰度比特币信托基金（Greyscale Bitcoin Trust）现在拥有的总资产接近100亿美元，它还为更成熟的投资者提供了使用比特币的途径。实际上，更长远的原因在于监管水平的变化，这意味着机构资金可以投资加密货币，机构参与度的上升似乎是当前势头与2017年反弹之间的主要区别。
也有人没那么乐观
Bleakley Consulting首席投资官彼得·布克瓦认为，有关加密货币正在取代世界上最古老的避险资产之一的想法“完全是胡说八道”。
本周一，布克瓦在给客户的报告中说：“有10多年历史的资产类别不会取代有5000年历史的类别。前者当然可以对后者进行补充，但不能取代它。”
桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为，比特币不是很好的交换媒介，比特币波动幅太大，因而很难用来购买大多数商品。而且，比特币并不是很好的财富存储工具，因为比特币波动幅度太强且与我们需要购买的东西的价格没有太大的相关性，所以拥有比特币并不能保护购买力。
英国央行行长贝利也曾表示，很难看出比特币有内在价值，对用作支付手段感到担忧，持有比特币或许有良好的理由，但投资者必须明白，价格波动非常大。
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