在比特币第三次减半的6个月后，我们看到了币价即将开始大幅增长的迹象。大部分囤币的比特币爱好者们（Holders）预计比特币的价值将上涨10倍。对我们大多数人来说，这仅仅意味着巨大的投资回报。但对于将比特币作为储备资产的上市公司来说，他们还有更多的事情要做。
囤币的回报
根据Bitocin Treasuries的数据，有15家上市公司选择使用比特币作为储备资产。当你仔细观察这些公司时，你会发现它们可以分为两类:
- 一类是主要目的是通过挖矿，数字资产持有或区块链技术活动持有比特币的公司。
- 以及在其主要业务活动之外，将部分资金购买比特币作为储备资产的公司。
据我所知，目前只有两家公司属于第二类。这两家公司分别是MicroStrategy和Square，他们从今年都开始购买比特币，所以对于主营业务并不是加密货币相关领域的公司来说，比特币仍然还属于新鲜事物。
当然，这也意味着我们没有太多的数据来进行分析，但我们仍然可以做一些观察。
上图中的15家上市公司披露了大量的财务信息。因此，通常评估他们购买比特币的平均价格，我们可以估计到目前为止他们所持有的加密货币资产到底增长了多少。
通过来自Bitocin Treasuries的数据我们可以发现：
- 那些在比特币第二次减半（每个区块产生的比特币奖励减少一半）到今年上半年购买比特币的公司，现在已经至少获得了1倍到4倍的投资回报。
- Coin Citadel在比特币第二次减半的指数增长阶段之前买入了大量的比特币，目前其持有价格已经上涨了43倍。
在足够长的时间范围内，没有人会在意其购买的比特币是否会在短期中赔钱，那些成功度过整个减半周期的人获得了巨大的回报！
我不知道大家是怎么看待比特币的，但是如果我必须向公司董事会推荐比特币作为储备资产，我会提出两个主要论点：
- 从设计上讲，比特币是一种对冲通胀的工具。如果我们想要至少保持现金储备的长期购买力，我们需要将其转换为比特币。
- 与此同时，如果我们在这个减半周期开始的时候购买比特，我们可以在交易中获得10倍的回报。
人们肯定会要求你拿出些证据来支持上述说法。这方面有很多相关的研究，我们来看看下面的一组图表。
有趣的是，如果有相当数量的公司被这些论点所说服，他们将希望在我们仍处于减持周期的第一阶段时买进大量的比特币，以获得币价潜在的上涨机会。但是这些公司的购买行为很可能会成为推高比特币价格的另一个催化剂。这可能是他们的购买力在比特币价格上涨上发挥作用的动力。
数据似乎表明，比特币目前的价格波动是由投资者在现货市场购买比特币，并将其充值到自己的钱包中所推动的。
这其中有多少公司买入了比特币放入呢？确切的数字我们也不清楚，但如果未来几个月有更多公司宣布将比特币作为储备资产，我也不会感到惊讶。
现阶段，这些上市公司面临所的一个大问题是：
使用比特币作为储备资产对公司来说意味着什么?
我们还没有足够多的数据来回答这个问题。
但是我们可以做一道有趣算术题，我们可以为每一家公司计算当一枚比特币的价值到达多少时，这些公司手里币的总价值就等与公司当前的市值。
以MicroStrategy为例，目前该公司的市值为12亿美元，它拥有38250枚比特币。这意味着一旦比特币的价格达到3万美元，该公司手里持有的比特币资产将与其市值一样高！
而另一家市值82亿美元的公司Square仅持有4709个比特币。这意味着每枚比特币的价格需要达到1800万美元的价格时，其手里的比特币才能达到该公司的市值水平。
考虑到这一点，你可能会认为比特币价值的上升对MicroStrategy的影响要大于它对Square的影响。但我们会看到它是如何发挥作用的。
结论是什么？
买比特币就对了，这个结果是是那么的显而易见。如果你是个个人投资者，你不需要费尽周折，说服公司董事会这是个好主意，然后再通过合规程序。你现在要做就是抢在机构投资者前面，参与比特币的不对称押注。你还在等什么呢？
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