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过去一周,市值最高的加密货币比特币一度突破16000美元,市场极度看涨,然而这种趋势还能走多远?

加密货币

本周初比特币一度跌至15000美元附近,但是随后强势上涨多次突破16000美元。业内普遍认为,周初比特币的回落受宏观市场和加密行业内的多个因素影响,包括辉瑞公司宣布其新冠疫苗试验取得积极结果,以及某些加密巨鲸开始抛售比特币。

不过从更长的时间尺度上看,比特币仍在强劲的上涨趋势当中。

比特币在过去两个月内上涨超过60%,创下34个月来的高点,年内涨幅超过110%。机构进入、供需关系和技术指标是推动这一波比特币价格上涨的主要动力。

知名对冲基金经理、美国亿万富翁Stanley Druckenmiller在接受CNBC采访时表示,他已持有比特币。他表示:“比特币作为一种资产类别和价值存储方式,不仅对千禧一代,而且对西海岸科技巨头都有很大的吸引力,比特币每天都在提升其品牌价值”。

摩根大通在近日发布的一份研究报告中表示,家族理财办公室等机构投资者可能正在考虑将比特币作为黄金的替代品。在报告中,摩根大通的分析师表示,Grayscale的比特币信托基金在10月份实现了累计资金流入,而黄金交易所交易基金(EFT)则自10月中旬以来出现了“一定程度的流出”。

MicroStrategy首席执行官Michael Saylor表示,比特币比“过时”的黄金“好一百万倍”。据《比推》此前报道,MicroStrategy今年9月宣布购买了4.25亿美元的比特币,这标志着主流企业首次大规模买入加密资产。

支付巨头PayPal周四表示,它将向所有符合条件的美国用户开放其新推出的加密货币服务。而数据追踪网站AssetDash显示,比特币市值已接近3000亿美元,成为按市值排名的第二十大资产,紧随其后的是美国著名家装零售商Home Depot和电信巨头Verizon,PayPal只排在第29位。

虽然PayPal上个月才开始提供比特币交易服务,但是其日比特币交易量已经达到2000万美元。根据Paxos的交易部门itBit的数据,在PayPal于10月21日开始提供比特币服务之前,每天有大约400万美元的交易额。而现在,该平台的日交易量约为2500万美元,这表明过去三周中比特币的需求增加了2000万美元。

Mike Novogratz的Galaxy Digital公司第三季度的净利润达到了4430万美元。根据该公司最新发布的季度报告,Galaxy Digital管理的总资产超过5.36亿美元,其中近2.25亿美元是加密货币。其子公司Galaxy Digital Trade的交易额同比增长75%,达到创纪录的14亿美元。Galaxy将比特币交易量的飙升归因于比特币市场的强劲势头。

虽然在周末比特币再次迎来小幅回调,不过目前市场看涨情绪高涨,比特币在最后的一个半月中甚至有可能冲击2万美元的历史高点。

数字货币

挪威央行副行长Ida Wolden Bache本周在该国财政会议上讲话称,目前没有推出数字货币的“迫切需求”。她在概述挪威央行目前对用于实时支付的央行数字货币的评估情况时说,挪威的现金使用水平已经下降,利用银行存款的支付应用越来越多,这可能是决定是否推出这一项目的关键因素。

比特币的反对者、曾准确预言2008年经济危机的“末日博士”鲁比尼表示,央行数字货币革命将在三年内到来。他对央行数字货币的未来充满信心。鲁比尼表示,像数字人民币这样的全球央行数字货币有能力在不久的将来取代主要金融服务和加密货币。他预测,一场由央行数字货币驱动的“革命”最快将在三年内到来。

黎巴嫩中央银行行长Riad Salameh本周表示,黎巴嫩计划明年推出数字货币,以恢复人们对陷入困境的银行业的信心,并向“无现金系统”过渡,实现当地和国外更加无缝的现金流动。

德意志银行呼吁欧洲央行加快开发央行数字货币的进程。德意志银行研究中心本周发布了一份新的经济评估报告,报告中提出了帮助受新冠疫情冲击的全球经济的建议。报告中称,流行的新冠疫情加速了“数字现金革命”。从长远来看,这场革命最终将使中国的数字人民币或瑞典的“电子克朗”等央行数字货币取代现金。

欧洲央行主席拉加德表示,如果数字欧元计划继续推进,那么将需要长达四年的时间才能取得成果。她在欧洲央行2020年央行论坛上发表讲话时表示,尽管欧洲央行并没有在发行央行数字货币方面“争当第一”,但她相信最终将会做出推动该项目的决定。

在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上,美联储监管副主席Randal Quarles表示,美联储对数字货币的立场仍处于形成阶段。他说:“我仍然认为,现在说这是美国需要实施的解决方案还为时过早。我们正在权衡利弊,已经有了试点项目,这仍处于初期阶段。我不会说美联储已经改变了立场,相信这是美国所需要的。”

应用

根据世界经济论坛周三发布的新报告,区块链代表了可持续数字金融的核心要素,即一种将新兴技术与环保商业模式相结合的新范式。在该报告中,瑞银高管Karin Oertli将区块链技术、人工智能、移动平台和物联网列为数字金融的基础。这些技术与环境、社会和治理框架相结合,可以帮助各国政府和企业实现可持续发展目标。

白俄罗斯最大的金融机构白俄罗斯银行将推出加密货币交易服务。据当地新闻机构Prime Press周四报道,白俄罗斯银行正在推出一项服务,允许用户使用Visa支付卡兑换加密货币。这项新服务允许用户与白俄罗斯卢布、美元和欧元等法定货币进行加密货币交易。

监管

美国一家律师事务所表示,美国国税局正对逃税的Coinbase用户展开调查。根据位于加州的税务公司David W. Klasing向投资者发布的一份公开声明称,美国国税局正在认真对待主要加密货币交易所Coinbase的逃税问题。该公司的税务律师和专家表示,美国国税局对于没有遵守税务报告要求的Coinbase用户的执法活动有所增加,逃税者可能“面临严重的民事和刑事指控”。

俄罗斯财政部将放宽对该国公民提交加密税收报告的要求。根据当地新闻机构RBK周四的消息,俄罗斯财政部对该国即将出台的加密资产法律提出了新的修正案,可能会放宽对加密货币纳税人的要求。最新的草案显示,在一年中交易价值超过60万俄罗斯卢布(约合7800美元)的加密货币的俄罗斯公民必须申报所持资产。在之前的提案中,财政部曾要求一年内交易超过10万卢布(约合1300美元)加密货币的公民申报加密资产。

周五,美国证券交易委员会指控富国银行前首席执行官John Stumpf和社区银行首席执行官Carrie Tolstedt在该行假账户丑闻上误导投资者,这是该行承认创建数百万假银行和信用卡账户四年来的最新法律裁决。

安全

周三,第二大区块链网络以太坊由于客户端升级一度导致“链分裂”,以太坊基础设施服务商Infura受到影响,币安等多个交易所一度中止以太坊的充提。Geth客户端在一个升级版本修复了一个共识错误,这影响到了其他低版本的客户端。受其影响,Infura在长达几个小时的时间内无法提供服务。作为一个以太坊基础设施服务商,Infura每天要处理数十亿个请求,它的许多功能都依赖于以太坊区块链。

根据加密分析公司 CipherTrace发布的《2020加密货币犯罪与反洗钱报告》,去中心化金融协议(DeFi)正成为加密黑客攻击的重灾区。报告中的数据显示,在2020年上半年,涉及DeFi的攻击活动占据所有盗窃和黑客攻击活动的45%(涉及金额达5150万美元,占总金额的40%)。在下半年,这一比例上升到50%(涉及金额达4770万美元,占总金额的14%)。

加密交易所币安官方公告中承诺向一个调查团队提供200000美元的赏金,这些调查人员提交了一份报告,该报告确定了一名试图在2018年对该交易所进行黑客攻击的攻击者。币安透露,美国司法部公布了起诉书,指控两名个人于2018年3月企图对币安进行黑客攻击,美国财政部对外资产管制办公室宣布针对这些个人实施制裁。

作者 Liang Che,本文来自比推Bitpush.News,转载需注明出处。

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